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Jun 18
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follow up on unemployment BS

So I honestly do not fully understand the numbers, do what you will with them…

employment numbers are gathered using an archaic system that polls a variety of employeers and asks them if they are hirng or firing.  What likely should be used as a more accurate real time indicator is the income tax payed every month rather than polling random companyies.

Regaurdless, the last months number of 345k jobs lost is bullshit for a variety of reasons, the most obvious reason is related to the birth/death model factor.  220k jobs were supposed to be created according to the Current Employment Statistics (CES).  Sooo 220+345 =  565 total jobs, back to the typical 500k jobs lost.


I’ve had a few cocktails before I wrote this, so I’m not sure I’m reading these numbers correctly so you can fact check my info here:

http://www.bls.gov/web/cesbd.htm

DISCLAIMER - I typically might be full of it, but I’ll always link to where I get my info so feel free and please call me out on any inaccuracies.

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